Image via WikipediaThe economic union among Belarus, Russian and Khazakhstan has been delayed for more than six months. There are numerous reasons for this, including the global economic crises. But also figuring into the equation is Russian's aggressive expansion at the expense of Georgia, bullying of Ukraine with threats that the same type of independence movement could strike in the Crimea, and the suspicion that it engineered the coup in the Kyrgyz Republic. All this has made countries like Belarus - regardless of its less than democratic government - move closer to the EU in terms of cooperation. It has not helped Lukashenko's position in the Kremlin that Belarus has refused to recognize S. Ossetia and Abkhazia as independent of Georgia, thereby joining the ranks of Venezuela, Nicaragua and some tiny atoll in the Pacific.
Lukashenko has oppositon, but it is usually not effective. The question is if Moscow will throw its weight, overtly, behind any other contender for the thrown of Minsk. The last time they did that, their man in Kyiv went down to defeat and they have failed miserably in Georgia trying to unseat their least favourite president.
